Recent data from the American National Election Studies (ANES) shows a significant shift among immigrant voters toward the Republican Party on the issue of immigration, as reported by Fox News.
A comparison of pre- and post-election surveys from the 2020 and 2024 election cycles reveals a 49-point swing in favor of the GOP.
In 2020, voters born outside the United States favored Democrats over Republicans on immigration by a margin of 58% to 24%, according to ANES, a long-established election research program.
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However, in 2024, that margin flipped considerably. Forty-five percent of foreign-born voters who cast ballots in the 2024 election said the Republican Party would do a better job of handling immigration. Only 30% named the Democratic Party.
The data suggests that immigrants, once reliably Democratic on immigration, are now increasingly supporting the GOP’s policies.
Daron Shaw, a member of the Fox News Decision Team and a Republican partner in the Fox News polling operation, said the shift is largely because immigrant voters “started so pro-Democrat. There’s more room for them to shift.”
Shaw, who is also a political science professor and department chair at the University of Texas, added that President Donald Trump’s influence over the issue has been pivotal in reshaping public opinion.
